August 6, 2023
Sunday Morning Replace
Thanks for go to right here for my climate report. Native wether is under and I plan to proceed all week, however please be aware my consideration is on Maryland Trek 10. My staff begins right now from the summit of Wisp ski resort for our week lengthy journey to Ocean Metropolis. That is my tenth 12 months in a row and it by no means will get previous! My favourite week of the 12 months!
We visited yesterday to the three,000 Ft summit, however this morning we are going to meet with our Energy Child Tyler and his household. We’re honoring a child in most cancers therapy every day and rising cash for our free applications at Simply In Energy Children. AS of this morning, we have now already raised over $61,000 in direction of our objective of $140,000+.
Maryland Trek 10 Begins TODAY
Right this moment’s Route will probably be 41 miles from Wisp to Cumberland Maryland. We are going to do 27 miles on foot, then bike the remainder of the day. Our whole will probably be 329 mile once we attain Ocean Metropolis and the water subsequent Saturday.
Right this moment our problem will probably be rain (within the mountains). Right here is the climate for our day occasion.
Right this moment’s Energy Child is Tyler. Please see his story right here and think about donated. We will probably be stay together with his household to begins between 8 AM and eight:30 AM on my Fb Web page.
Climate for our route right now:
Climate Briefing
Morning Floor Climate
A muggy begin for some and turning unstable. A climate system will probably be approaching from the west and attain the mountains with rain. So our day could finish moist, however the rain ought to maintain off for metro areas till later right now and tonight.
Radar Simulation Forecast
8 AM to Midnight
This can be a tough information however not good. My suggestion is for rain later… beginning within the mountains after 2 PM, then reaching central Maryland tonight.
4 PM Snapshot
6 PM Snapshot
8 PM Snapshot
Afternoon Temperatures
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2023 Hurricane Season Forecast With An El Niño Watch
Drought Report
https://justinweather.com/2023/07/20/severe-drought-remains-in-parts-of-maryland-july-20-2023/
CLIMATE DATA
TODAY August 6
Regular Low in Baltimore: 67ºF
Document 51ºF in 1951
Regular Excessive in Baltimore: 88ºF
Document 105ºF 1918
Monday Climate
SEVERE STORM RISK
NOAA has an ENHANCE RISK west of the cities. That is Stage 3 of 5 likelihood for storms to show extreme with extra depth.
The problem right here is the timing. Modeling does differ and the early they develop and arrive, the stronger and extra intense they are often tapping into the daytime heating. Nonetheless, we could have extreme storms lasting in a single day.
This consists of the potential for
- Winds over 70 mph
- Hail over 1.5”
- A number of tornadoes
- Flash Flooding
I don’t belief the modeling, however we use them as guides. It’s seemingly there will probably be extra exercise than proven right here.
Radar Simulation: WRF Mannequin
This mannequin reveals showers extra seemingly any time after 2 PM. This product solely goes out to eight PM… The place we see a number of traces of storms.
Midnight: NAM 3 Km
This mannequin has the storm line arriving later…. However I consider we nonetheless will probably be watching all afternoon and night as properly.
Morning Temperatures
The day will begin of extra muggy.
Afternoon Temperatures
The numbers are topic to the place the showers attain. The place it rains it’s going to cool into the 70s, however earlier than that arrives there will probably be widespread 90s. That is gasoline for the approaching storm system.
Rain Forecast Monday Night To Friday Night
After the stormy Monday, the center of the week appears nice. That is when our Maryland Trek Staff will cross central Maryland.
Extra seasonal afternoon showers or thunderstorms will return Thursday, however I’d not change any plans.
7 Day Forecast
After we get via the storms Monday the center of the week appears good.
Typical summer time afternoon showers or thunderstorms will return Thursday into subsequent weekend.
All Week For These Children
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2023 Hurricane Season Forecast With An El Niño Watch
La Niña Has Ended. El Niño Could Return By Fall
Aurora Pictures From Maryland, Delaware, and Virginia
Please share your ideas, and greatest climate pics/movies, or simply be in contact by way of social media
RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA
I’m conscious there are some spelling and grammar typos and occasional different glitches. I take accountability for my errors, and even the pc glitches I could miss. I’ve made a number of public statements over time, however if you’re new right here you’ll have missed it: I’ve dyslexia, and discovered throughout my second 12 months at Cornell College. It didn’t cease me from getting my meteorology diploma and being the primary to get the AMS CBM within the Baltimore/Washington area. One among my professors instructed me that I had made it that far with out realizing, and to not let it’s a crutch going ahead. That was Mark Wysocki and he was completely appropriate! I do miss my errors in my very own proofreading. The autocorrect spell test on my pc generally does an injustice to make it worse. I can also make errors in forecasting. Nobody is ideal at predicting the long run. The entire maps and knowledge are correct. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky. There was no editor that may test my work after I wanted it and have it able to ship out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the net staff that helps me preserve this web site. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is on the market. That may very well be AFTER you learn this. I settle for this and maybe proves what you learn is basically from me… It’s a part of my allure.
#FITF